TSLA technical analysis

TSLA's latest weekly close of 372.11 is above its weekly EMA20 of 369.59 by 0.68%. The price is below its weekly EMA50 of 376.65 by -1.21%. Looking at the longer-term trend, the price is significantly above its weekly EMA200 of 322.71 by 15.31%.

The weekly EMA stack is currently described as mixed / transitioning. This indicates that the trend is not clearly defined as bullish or bearish at this time. It is important to remember that the EMA stack describes the underlying trend and not specific entry or exit timing.

A golden cross, where the EMA50 crossed above the EMA200, occurred on 2024-12-02, 95 weeks ago. No death cross was reported.

What would change this read

A weekly close above 376.65 (EMA50) would indicate a stronger bullish sentiment. A weekly close below 369.59 (EMA20) would suggest a weakening of immediate positive momentum. A weekly close below 322.71 (EMA200) would signal a significant shift to a bearish long-term trend.

MACD versus Signal Line

The weekly MACD is currently at -9.07, positioned above its signal line of -11.55, indicating a bullish posture. This follows a bullish crossover that occurred on 2026-09-14, 2 weeks ago.

Histogram

The histogram is positive at 2.47. Momentum is accelerating, as indicated by a positive 4-bar change of 3.58.

Zero-Line Position

The MACD is currently below the zero line, suggesting an overall bearish trend. The last zero-line cross was bearish, occurring on 2026-06-22, 14 weeks ago. This is distinct from the more recent bullish signal-line crossover.

Divergence Checks

No bearish divergence was found based on the last two price pivots. No bullish divergence was found based on the last two price pivots.

What would change this read

A shift to a bearish outlook would occur if the MACD were to fall below its signal line of -11.55, or if the histogram were to turn negative (below 0.00). A stronger bullish confirmation would be if the MACD were to cross above the zero line (above 0.00).

TSLA's weekly RSI(14) is 49.54, indicating a neutral state, as it is neither overbought (>= 70) nor oversold (<= 30).

Over the last four weeks, the RSI has been rising, moving from 45.36 to its current 49.54.

The most recent band event occurred 52 weeks ago, on 2025-09-29, when the RSI fell back below the overbought threshold of 70.

No bearish divergence was found based on the last two price pivots (2026-07-06 close 407.76/rsi 51.45 -> 2026-08-17 close 362.86/rsi 46.67). Similarly, no bullish divergence was found based on the last two price pivots (2026-06-22 close 379.71/rsi 45.06 -> 2026-07-27 close 311.21/rsi 34.95).

What would change this read: A weekly RSI(14) reading of 70 or higher would indicate an overbought condition. Conversely, a weekly RSI(14) reading of 30 or lower would signal an oversold condition.

The current weekly Average True Range (ATR(14)) for TSLA is 31.76. This value represents 8.54% of its latest weekly close price of 372.11, indicating the typical weekly price fluctuation relative to the stock's value.

Compared to eight weeks ago, when the weekly ATR was 37.39, current volatility is contracting. This suggests that the average weekly price movement has decreased over this period.

The 1x ATR band from the latest close suggests that a normal expected weekly trading range for TSLA would be between 340.35 and 403.87. Extending this, the 2x ATR band indicates that a wider, but still plausible, weekly range could be observed between 308.58 and 435.64. These bands describe expected weekly range, not price predictions.

What would change this read

If the weekly ATR(14) were to rise above 37.39, it would signal an expansion in volatility. A weekly close outside the 1x ATR band, for example, above 403.87 or below 340.35, would indicate a move beyond the currently expected weekly range.

TSLA's 52-week high stands at 498.83, set on 2025-12-22. The 52-week low is 297.38, established on 2026-07-27.

The latest weekly close of 372.11 is 25.40% below its 52-week high. Conversely, the price is 25.13% above its 52-week low.

The midpoint of the 52-week range is 398.10. TSLA's current position within this range is 37.10%, indicating that the stock is trading in the lower portion of its annual cycle, closer to its 52-week low than its 52-week high. This suggests a period of relative weakness or consolidation within its longer-term trading pattern.

What would change this read

A weekly close above the midpoint of 398.10 would suggest a shift towards a more neutral or bullish sentiment within the range. A weekly close below the 52-week low of 297.38 would confirm a strong bearish breakdown. A weekly close above the 52-week high of 498.83 would signal significant bullish momentum.