NVDA technical analysis

The latest weekly close for NVDA is 228.38, which is above the EMA20 at 213.97 by 6.73%. This indicates a positive short-term trend.

NVDA's price is also above the EMA50 at 197.89 by 15.41%, reinforcing a strong medium-term trend.

The price is significantly above the EMA200 at 130.67 by 74.77%, highlighting a robust long-term trend.

The EMA stack is bullish, with the 20-week EMA above the 50-week EMA, which is above the 200-week EMA. This configuration indicates a strong upward trend but does not suggest specific entry timing.

There is no recorded EMA50/EMA200 cross within the computable window, meaning no recent golden or death cross has occurred.

What would change this read

1. The price dropping below the EMA20 at 213.97 could signal weakening short-term momentum. 2. A decline below the EMA50 at 197.89 might indicate a shift in the medium-term trend. 3. A bearish cross where the EMA50 falls below the EMA200 would suggest a potential long-term trend reversal.

MACD versus Signal Line: The MACD is at 8.47, above the signal line at 7.77, indicating a bullish posture. The last bullish signal-line crossover occurred on 2026-08-03, which was 8 weeks ago.

Histogram: The histogram is positive at 0.69, but momentum is decelerating with a 4-bar change of -0.06.

Zero-Line Position: The MACD is above zero, confirming a bullish trend. The last bullish zero-line crossover happened on 2025-06-02, 69 weeks ago.

Divergence Checks: There is no bearish divergence, as the MACD increased from 7.39 to 8.34 between the price pivots on 2026-08-10 and 2026-08-31. Similarly, no bullish divergence was found, with the MACD rising from 5.06 to 7.29 between the pivots on 2026-07-27 and 2026-08-17.

What would change this read

1. A bearish signal-line crossover if the MACD falls below the signal line at 7.77. 2. A negative histogram reading, indicating a shift to bearish momentum. 3. A bearish zero-line crossover if the MACD drops below zero.

The current RSI(14) for NVDA is 59.44, which is in the neutral range as it is neither overbought (>= 70) nor oversold (<= 30). Over the last four weeks, the RSI has been falling, moving from 61.71 to the current 59.44. The most recent band event occurred on 2025-11-03, when the RSI fell back below 70, indicating a move out of the overbought territory. There are no bearish or bullish divergences reported in the recent data; the checks for both types of divergence returned "none".

What would change this read: A move of the RSI(14) above 70 would indicate an overbought condition, or a drop below 30 would signal an oversold condition. Additionally, the emergence of a bearish or bullish divergence in the RSI compared to price pivots could alter the current neutral outlook.

The current ATR(14) for NVDA is 15.43, which represents 6.76% of the latest weekly close price of 228.38. This indicates the average weekly price movement is about 6.76% of the current price.

Volatility is contracting compared to eight weeks ago, as the ATR has decreased from 16.62 to 15.43.

The 1x ATR band from the latest weekly close is 212.95 to 243.81, suggesting that the expected weekly range for NVDA is between these levels. The 2x ATR band extends this expected range from 197.51 to 259.25, indicating a broader potential movement within these boundaries.

What would change this read

1. If the ATR(14) increases back to or above 16.62, it would suggest expanding volatility. 2. A weekly close outside the 2x ATR band, either below 197.51 or above 259.25, could indicate a significant change in volatility or market conditions. 3. A sustained change in the percentage of ATR relative to the price, significantly deviating from the current 6.76%, might also signal a shift in volatility dynamics.

NVDA's 52-week high was set at $236.54 on 2026-05-11. The 52-week low was $164.27, established on 2026-03-30.

The latest weekly close of $225.07 is 4.85% below its 52-week high. Conversely, it stands 37.01% above its 52-week low.

The stock's position within its 52-week range is 84.1%. This indicates that NVDA is trading significantly closer to its 52-week high than its low, suggesting strong bullish momentum and a robust uptrend within its longer weekly cycle. The stock has maintained a high valuation relative to its yearly performance. The midpoint of the 52-week range is $200.40.

What would change this read

A weekly close above $236.54 would signal a new 52-week high, reinforcing the bullish outlook. Conversely, a weekly close below the midpoint of $200.40 would indicate a significant weakening of the current bullish trend. A weekly close below the 52-week low of $164.27 would turn the outlook bearish.