JPM technical analysis

Price vs EMAs

• – Weekly close is 333.18.
• – Price is below EMA20 at 338.73 by -1.64%.
• – Price is above EMA50 at 320.90 by 3.83%.
• – Price is above EMA200 at 249.54 by 33.52%.

EMA stack / trend

• – The stack is bullish (20 > 50 > 200).
• – That stack describes trend, not entry timing.
• – The weekly close sitting below EMA20 while remaining above EMA50 and EMA200 shows price is holding the broader bullish structure, but not above the short-term weekly average.

Golden / death cross

• – No EMA50/EMA200 cross was found within the computable window.
• – Nothing was found for a dated golden cross or death cross in the provided data.

What would change this read

• – A weekly close moving back above EMA20: 338.73 would remove the current short-term weakness versus the 20-week average.
• – A weekly close moving below EMA50: 320.90 would break the current position above the 50-week average.
• – A move that puts the stack out of 20 > 50 > 200 would change the trend read from bullish to non-bullish.

• – MACD vs signal line: MACD is 8.27 and signal is 11.17, so MACD is below the signal line. The last signal-line crossover was bearish on 2026-09-21, 2 weeks ago.
• – Histogram: Histogram is -2.9055, so it is negative. The 4-bar change is -3.733, which means momentum is decelerating.
• – Zero line: MACD is above zero. The last zero-line cross was bullish on 2026-04-20, 24 weeks ago. This is a separate signal from the signal-line crossover and has a much longer horizon.
• – Divergence checks:
• – Bearish divergence check: none — 2026-08-10 close 362.84 / macd 14.1447 -> 2026-08-31 close 358.64 / macd 14.4674.
• – Bullish divergence check: none — 2026-05-11 close 297.81 / macd 0.2706 -> 2026-08-17 close 351.58 / macd 14.0744.

Nothing was found on either check.

What would change this read:

• – MACD moving back above the signal line from 8.2657 versus 11.1712.
• – Histogram turning from -2.9055 to positive.
• – MACD losing the zero-line regime by moving below the 0 level after being above zero.

Current RSI and regime

• – Current weekly RSI(14) is 49.28.
• – That is neutral, not overbought and not oversold.

Direction over the last four weeks

• – RSI 4 bars ago was 64.77.
• – The direction over the last four weeks is falling, from 64.77 to 49.28.

Most recent 70/30 band event

• – The most recent band event was a fall back below 70 on 2026-08-17, 7 bars ago.

Divergence checks

• – Bearish divergence check: nothing was found. The reported last two price pivots were 2026-08-10 close 362.84 / RSI 72.41 and 2026-08-31 close 358.64 / RSI 66.64.
• – Bullish divergence check: nothing was found. The reported last two price pivots were 2026-05-11 close 297.81 / RSI 47.79 and 2026-08-17 close 351.58 / RSI 63.99.

What would change this read

• – A move above 70, after the prior band event at 70.
• – A move to 30 or below.
• – A reversal from the current 49.28 and the prior 64.77 into a rising weekly RSI instead of the current falling direction.

• – ATR value and percentage: The weekly ATR(14) is 13.95, which is 4.19% of the latest weekly close of 333.18. That means the stock’s typical weekly movement is about 4.19% of price.
• – Expanding or contracting vs 8 weeks ago: Volatility is contracting because ATR(14) moved from 14.99 eight weeks ago to 13.95 now.
• – What the ATR bands imply: The 1x ATR band from the close is 319.23 to 347.13, which describes a normal weekly range around the latest close. The 2x ATR band from the close is 305.29 to 361.07, which describes a wider expected weekly range. These bands indicate expected weekly movement, not a price forecast.

What would change this read

• – A weekly ATR reading above 14.99 would break the current contraction comparison versus the 8 bars ago level.
• – A weekly ATR reading below 13.95 would show further contraction from the current ATR(14).
• – Movement outside the 1x ATR band of 319.23 to 347.13, or outside the 2x ATR band of 305.29 to 361.07, would indicate movement beyond the currently defined expected weekly range.

• – 52-week high and low: The weekly 52-week high is 366.5, set on 2026-08-10. The weekly 52-week low is 279.1, set on 2026-03-09.
• – Distance from each extreme: Latest weekly close is 333.18. That is 9.09% below the 52-week high and 19.38% above the 52-week low.
• – What the range position says: JPM is at 61.9% of its 52-week range, with a midpoint of 322.8. That places the stock above the midpoint and closer to the high than the low, which indicates a constructive longer-cycle position, but still short of the top of the range.

What would change this read

• – A move to the 52-week high of 366.5 would shift the stock to the top of the range.
• – A break down toward the 52-week low of 279.1 would move it back toward the bottom of the range.
• – A move back below the midpoint of 322.8 would weaken the range position materially.