ORCL technical analysis

ORCL's latest weekly close of 137.1 is below its weekly EMA20 of 152.18 by 9.91%. The price is also below its weekly EMA50 of 167.73 by 18.26%. Furthermore, the latest weekly close is below its weekly EMA200 of 151.56 by 9.54%.

The weekly EMA stack is currently described as mixed / transitioning. This indicates that the longer-term trend is not clearly defined as bullish or bearish at this time, but rather in a state of flux. It is important to remember that the EMA stack describes the trend, not entry timing.

No EMA50/EMA200 cross was found within the computable window.

What would change this read

A weekly close above 152.18 (EMA20) would indicate a short-term improvement. A more significant shift would occur with a weekly close above 167.73 (EMA50), suggesting a stronger reversal of the current bearish sentiment.

MACD versus its signal line

The weekly MACD for ORCL is currently -9.31, positioned above its signal line of -9.65. This bullish posture follows a bullish signal-line crossover that occurred on 2026-08-31, 4 weeks ago.

Histogram

The histogram is positive at 0.33, indicating positive momentum. However, the 4-bar change in the histogram is -0.90, which shows that this positive momentum is decelerating.

Zero-line position

The MACD is currently below the zero line at -9.31. The last zero-line cross was bearish, occurring on 2026-06-22, 14 weeks ago. This is distinct from the more recent bullish signal-line crossover, as the zero-line cross indicates a longer-term trend shift.

Divergence checks

No bearish divergence was found based on the last two price pivots. Similarly, no bullish divergence was found based on the last two price pivots.

What would change this read

• – A change to a bearish outlook would occur if the MACD crosses below its signal line, specifically if MACD falls below -9.65.
• – A stronger bullish signal would emerge if the MACD crosses above the zero line, rising above 0.00.
• – A weakening of the current bullish posture would be indicated if the histogram turns negative, falling below 0.00.

ORCL's current weekly RSI(14) stands at 42.04, placing it in neutral territory. It is neither overbought (>= 70) nor oversold (<= 30).

The weekly RSI has been falling over the last four weeks, from 48.96 to its current 42.04.

The most recent band event occurred 33 weeks ago, on 2026-02-09, when the weekly RSI recovered above 30.

No bearish divergence was found between the price pivot of 225.78 on 2026-05-25 (RSI 63.63) and 158.78 on 2026-08-31 (RSI 48.96). Similarly, no bullish divergence was found between the price pivot of 114.99 on 2026-07-20 (RSI 33.38) and 146.47 on 2026-08-17 (RSI 44.66).

What would change this read

• – A weekly RSI move above 70.00 would indicate overbought conditions.
• – A weekly RSI move below 30.00 would indicate oversold conditions.
• – A reversal of the falling trend, with the weekly RSI moving above 48.96.

The current weekly ATR(14) for ORCL is 19.01, representing 13.87% of its latest weekly close price of 137.1.

Compared to eight weeks ago, when the ATR was 22.56, current weekly volatility for ORCL is contracting.

The 1x ATR band suggests that a typical weekly range for ORCL is expected to be between 118.09 and 156.11. Extending this, the 2x ATR band indicates that a wider, but still plausible, weekly range could be observed between 99.08 and 175.12. These bands describe expected weekly range, not price predictions.

What would change this read

A weekly ATR(14) value rising above 22.56 would indicate a shift to expanding volatility. Conversely, a weekly ATR(14) value dropping below 19.01 would signal continued or accelerated contraction.

ORCL's 52-week high was 322.54, set on 2025-10-13. The 52-week low was 114.5, set on 2026-07-27.

The latest weekly close of 137.1 is -57.49% from its 52-week high and 19.74% above its 52-week low.

The position within the 52-week range is 10.9%. This indicates that ORCL is trading very near the lower end of its annual price spectrum, suggesting the stock has experienced significant downward pressure over the past year and is currently in a phase of weakness or potentially searching for a bottom in its longer cycle.

What would change this read

A weekly close below the 52-week low of 114.5 would signal further bearish momentum. Conversely, a weekly close above the midpoint of the 52-week range, 218.52, would suggest a significant shift in sentiment and a potential reversal in its longer cycle.