MCD technical analysis

• – Price vs EMA20: latest weekly close is 235.23, which is below EMA20 at 259.97 by -9.52%.
• – Price vs EMA50: latest weekly close is 235.23, which is below EMA50 at 279.13 by -15.73%.
• – Price vs EMA200: latest weekly close is 235.23, which is below EMA200 at 281.27 by -16.37%.
• – EMA stack: bearish. The ordering is 20 < 50 < 200, which describes trend, not entry timing.
• – Cross: a death cross on 2026-10-05, reported 1 bars ago, for EMA50/EMA200.

What would change this read

• – A weekly close back above EMA20 at 259.97 would change the price/EMA20 relationship.
• – A weekly close back above EMA50 at 279.13 would change the price/EMA50 relationship.
• – A reversal of the bearish stack away from 20 < 50 < 200, or any new golden cross after the reported death cross on 2026-10-05, would change the trend read.

• – MACD vs signal line: MACD is -15.3316 versus signal -12.8124, so MACD is below the signal line. The last signal-line crossover was bearish on 2026-08-24, which was 7 weeks ago.
• – Histogram: histogram is -2.5192, so it is negative. The 4-bar change is -0.175, which means momentum is decelerating further in negative territory.
• – Zero line: MACD is below zero, so the weekly MACD remains in bearish zero-line territory. The last zero-line cross was bearish on 2026-04-20, which was 25 weeks ago. This is separate from the signal-line crossover and reflects the longer-horizon zero-line state.
• – Divergence checks: bearish divergence check found nothing; the last two price pivots were 2026-06-29 close 280.63 / macd -9.4612 and 2026-08-03 close 274.48 / macd -9.9595. Bullish divergence check found nothing; the last two price pivots were 2026-07-20 close 264.76 / macd -10.6781 and 2026-09-28 close 231.89 / macd -14.412.

What would change this read

• – A weekly MACD move above signal -12.8124 would remove the current bearish signal-line posture.
• – A move of MACD above zero would end the current below-zero weekly state.
• – A histogram move from -2.5192 to a less negative reading, after the reported 4-bar change of -0.175, would show improving weekly momentum.

Current RSI: 26.54, which is oversold on the weekly timeframe.

Direction over the last four weeks: the RSI has been falling; 4 bars ago it was 28.84, and the current reading is 26.54.

Most recent 70/30 band event: it crossed below 30 on 2026-09-14, which was 4 bars ago.

Divergence checks: nothing was found for bearish divergence; the last two price pivots were 2026-06-29 close 280.63 / rsi 40.99 to 2026-08-03 close 274.48 / rsi 41.42. Nothing was found for bullish divergence; the last two price pivots were 2026-07-20 close 264.76 / rsi 33.79 to 2026-09-28 close 231.89 / rsi 23.22.

What would change this read

• – A weekly RSI move back above 30 from the current 26.54 would end the oversold state.
• – A reversal in the week-over-week RSI path, with the reading rising above the prior 28.84, would change the falling short-term direction.
• – A new divergence check that no longer reports “none” would alter the current no-divergence read.

• – ATR value and % of price: ATR(14) is 10.46, which is 4.44% of the latest weekly close of 235.23. That means the stock’s typical weekly movement is about 10.46 points.
• – Expansion or contraction versus 8 weeks ago: volatility is contracting because ATR(14) fell from 11.37 to 10.46.
• – What the 1x and 2x ATR bands imply: the 1x ATR band from 224.77 to 245.69 describes a normal expected weekly range around the close. The 2x ATR band from 214.32 to 256.14 describes a wider expected weekly range for larger-but-still-routine weekly movement. These are expected ranges, not price forecasts.

What would change this read

• – A move in ATR(14) back above 11.37 would change the contraction read.
• – A break outside the 1x ATR band at 224.77 or 245.69 would show a weekly move larger than the current 1x expected range.
• – A move outside the 2x ATR band at 214.32 or 256.14 would indicate a weekly move beyond the current 2x expected range.

• – 52-week high: 341.75 set on 2026-03-02.
• – 52-week low: 229.20 set on 2026-10-05.
• – Distance from the high: -31.17%, so weekly close of 235.23 is well below the 52-week peak.
• – Distance above the low: 2.63%, so price is only slightly above the 52-week floor.
• – Position in the 52-week range: 5.4% of the way from low to high. That means the stock is at the very low end of its longer weekly cycle, much closer to the 52-week low than the 52-week high.

What would change this read

• – A move back above 285.47 would put price at the midpoint of the 52-week range and improve the range-position read.
• – A move to or below 229.2 would set a new 52-week low and confirm continued weakness.
• – A move back toward 341.75 would reduce the -31.17% gap to the 52-week high and signal a much stronger weekly range recovery.