LLY technical analysis

• – Price vs EMA20: the latest weekly close is 1179.27, which is above EMA20 at 1144.99 by 2.99%.
• – Price vs EMA50: the latest weekly close is 1179.27, which is above EMA50 at 1064.63 by 10.77%.
• – Price vs EMA200: the latest weekly close is 1179.27, which is above EMA200 at 781.87 by 50.83%.
• – EMA stack: bullish (20 > 50 > 200). This describes trend, not entry timing.
• – Cross signal: nothing was found for the last EMA50/EMA200 cross; none occurred within the computable window.

What would change this read

• – A weekly close below 1144.99 would remove the current above-EMA20 condition.
• – A weekly close below 1064.63 would remove the current above-EMA50 condition.
• – A break of the bullish stack, 20 > 50 > 200, would change the trend read; if the data later reports an EMA50/EMA200 cross, that would be the first qualifying cross signal in the computable window.

MACD versus signal line

MACD is 34.99 and signal is 42.99, so MACD is below the signal line. The last signal-line crossover was bearish on 2026-08-31, which is 6 weeks ago.

Histogram

The histogram is -8.01, so it is negative. The 4-bar change is 0.168, which means the negative momentum is decelerating slightly.

Zero-line position

MACD is above zero. The last zero-line cross was bullish on 2026-05-11, which is 22 weeks ago. This is distinct from the signal-line crossover: the zero-line cross is a longer-horizon momentum regime signal, while the signal-line crossover is a shorter-horizon timing signal.

Divergence checks

Bearish divergence check: none found. The last two price pivots were 2026-08-17 close 1255.4 / macd 63.3212 and 2026-09-21 close 1183.46 / macd 41.5469, and the computation reported no bearish divergence. Bullish divergence check: none found. The last two price pivots were 2026-09-07 close 1115.7 / macd 46.0664 and 2026-09-28 close 1142.85 / macd 37.1358, and the computation reported no bullish divergence.

What would change this read

• – A weekly MACD move back above signal 42.9947 would remove the current bearish MACD-versus-signal posture.
• – A move of MACD back to or below 0 would end the current above-zero regime.
• – A new divergence finding would require a fresh checked pivot pair that differs from the current no-divergence results tied to 2026-08-17 close 1255.4 / macd 63.3212 and 2026-09-21 close 1183.46 / macd 41.5469, or to 2026-09-07 close 1115.7 / macd 46.0664 and 2026-09-28 close 1142.85 / macd 37.1358.

• – Current RSI and regime: weekly RSI(14) is 55.97, which is neutral. It is neither overbought nor oversold.
• – Direction over the last four weeks: RSI 4 bars ago was 54.42, so the weekly RSI has been rising.
• – Most recent 70/30 band event: RSI fell back below 70 on 2025-12-01, 45 bars ago.
• – Divergence checks: nothing was found on either check. Bearish divergence: none, from 2026-08-17 close 1255.4 / rsi 67.09 to 2026-09-21 close 1183.46 / rsi 57.1. Bullish divergence: none, from 2026-09-07 close 1115.7 / rsi 50.96 to 2026-09-28 close 1142.85 / rsi 52.67.

What would change this read

• – A move above "70" would change the weekly RSI regime from neutral to overbought.
• – A move below "30" would change the weekly RSI regime from neutral to oversold.
• – A reversal from the current "55.97" to below "54.42" on a future weekly reading would break the current four-week rising direction.

• – ATR value and what it means: The weekly ATR(14) is 72.85. At 6.18% of the latest weekly close of 1179.27, it means the stock’s typical weekly movement is 6.18% of price.
• – Expanding or contracting vs eight weeks ago: Volatility is contracting. ATR moved from 84.26 eight bars ago to 72.85 now.
• – 1x and 2x ATR bands: The 1x ATR band from the close is 1106.42 to 1252.12, which describes a normal weekly movement envelope around the latest close. The 2x ATR band is 1033.56 to 1324.98, which describes a wider expected weekly range. These are expected range references, not price forecasts.

What would change this read

• – If ATR(14) moved back above 84.26, that would reverse the contraction read.
• – If the latest weekly close moved outside 1106.42 or 1252.12, that would show movement beyond the 1x ATR band.
• – If the latest weekly close moved outside 1033.56 or 1324.98, that would show movement beyond the 2x ATR band.

• – 52-week range: the high is 1292.65 set 2026-08-17, and the low is 793.82 set 2025-10-20.
• – Distance from each extreme: latest weekly close of 1179.27 is 8.77% below the 52-week high and 48.56% above the 52-week low.
• – What the range position says: at 77.3% of the 52-week range, LLY is in the upper part of its longer weekly cycle, well above the midpoint of 1043.24 and closer to the high than the low.

What would change this read

• – A weekly close back to 1043.24 would move the stock to the midpoint of the 52-week range and weaken the current upper-range position.
• – A move to 793.82 would put price back at the 52-week low and fully reverse the current range strength.
• – A move to 1292.65 would place price at the 52-week high and confirm a test of the top of the range.