HD technical analysis

Price vs each EMA

• – Weekly close is 290.74, which is below EMA20 316.94 by 8.27%.
• – Weekly close is below EMA50 335.96 by 13.46%.
• – Weekly close is below EMA200 345.33 by 15.81%.

EMA stack

• – The stack is bearish because 20 < 50 < 200.
• – This EMA stack describes trend, not entry timing.

Cross status

• – The last EMA50/EMA200 cross was a death cross on 2026-08-24 (7 bars ago).

What would change this read

• – A weekly close back above EMA20: 316.94 would change the price-vs-EMA20 condition.
• – A weekly close back above EMA50: 335.96 would change the price-vs-EMA50 condition.
• – A weekly close back above EMA200: 345.33 would change the price-vs-EMA200 condition.

MACD vs signal: MACD is -13.86 and signal is -9.73, so MACD is below the signal line in a bearish posture. The last signal-line crossover was bearish on 2026-09-07, which was 5 bars ago.

Histogram: the histogram is -4.13, so it is negative. The 4-bar change is -0.6521, which means momentum is decelerating on the weekly MACD histogram.

Zero-line position: MACD is below zero. The last zero-line cross was bearish on 2026-03-02, which was 32 bars ago. This is separate from the signal-line crossover and reflects the longer-horizon zero-line condition.

Divergence checks: nothing was found for either check. Bearish divergence check: none — 2026-06-29 close 357.9 / macd -6.9752 -> 2026-08-03 close 355.62 / macd -2.9329. Bullish divergence check: none — 2026-07-27 close 331.96 / macd -4.9242 -> 2026-09-28 close 282.85 / macd -12.1859.

What would change this read

• – A weekly MACD move back above the signal line from the current -13.8646 vs -9.7308.
• – A weekly MACD move back above zero from the current -13.8646.
• – A histogram turn from -4.1338 to positive, especially if the 4-bar change stops being negative from -0.6521.

• – Current weekly RSI and state: 36.42, which is neutral. It is above oversold at 30 and below overbought at 70.
• – Direction over the last four weeks: RSI 4 bars ago was 36.97, and the direction is falling.
• – Most recent 70/30 band event: fell back below 70 on 2024-03-25, 133 bars ago.
• – Divergence checks: bearish divergence check found nothing; the last two price pivots were 2026-06-29 close 357.9 / rsi 55.67 -> 2026-08-03 close 355.62 / rsi 55.07. Bullish divergence check found nothing; the last two price pivots were 2026-07-27 close 331.96 / rsi 46.51 -> 2026-09-28 close 282.85 / rsi 32.52.

What would change this read

• – A move to 70 or higher would change the state to overbought.
• – A move to 30 or lower would change the state to oversold.
• – A reversal from 36.42 to above 36.97 would break the current falling weekly RSI direction.

• – ATR value and meaning: The weekly ATR(14) is 17.44, which equals 6% of the latest weekly close of 290.74. That means the stock’s typical weekly movement is about 17.44 points, relative to price.
• – Expanding or contracting vs 8 weeks ago: Volatility is contracting because ATR(14) is 17.44 now versus 20.27 eight bars ago.
• – What the ATR bands imply: The 1x ATR band from the close is 273.30 to 308.18, which describes a normal expected weekly range around the latest close. The 2x ATR band from the close is 255.85 to 325.63, which describes a wider expected weekly range. These bands indicate how much weekly movement is normal for this stock, not a price forecast.

What would change this read

• – A move in ATR(14) back above 20.27 would reverse the current contracting read.
• – A weekly close outside 273.3 to 308.18 would mean movement exceeded the 1x ATR band.
• – A weekly close outside 255.85 to 325.63 would mean movement exceeded the 2x ATR band.

52-week high and low

HD's 52-week high stands at 397.63, established on 2026-02-09. The 52-week low is 289.1, which was set on 2026-05-18.

Distance from each

The latest weekly close for HD is 293.2. This price is -26.26% away from its 52-week high. Conversely, the stock is positioned 1.42% above its 52-week low.

Position within the range and what it says about the longer cycle

HD is currently trading at 3.8% of its 52-week range, where 0% represents the low and 100% represents the high. This indicates that the stock is trading very close to its 52-week low, suggesting a period of significant weakness relative to its performance over the past year within its longer cycle. The midpoint of the 52-week range is 343.37.

What would change this read

A shift in this read would occur if HD's weekly close were to break below its 52-week low of 289.1, indicating further downside. Conversely, a move above the midpoint of the 52-week range at 343.37 would signal a significant recovery from its current low position.