DIS technical analysis

Price vs each weekly EMA

• – Weekly close is 108.05.
• – vs EMA20 104.19: price is above by 3.70%.
• – vs EMA50 104.66: price is above by 3.24%.
• – vs EMA200 111.91: price is below by -3.45%.

EMA stack

• – The stack is bearish (20 < 50 < 200).
• – That stack describes the weekly trend, not entry timing.

Golden / death cross

• – Last EMA50/EMA200 cross: none within the computable window.
• – Nothing was found for a dated golden cross or death cross in the reported window.

What would change this read

• – If the weekly close moves above 111.91, price would no longer be below the EMA200.
• – If the EMA stack stops being 20 < 50 < 200, the bearish weekly trend read would change.
• – If a future computed result reports an EMA50/EMA200 cross instead of none within the computable window, the cross section would change.

MACD vs signal line

• – MACD: 0.86 vs signal: 0.13
• – MACD is above the signal line, which is a bullish posture.
• – Last signal-line crossover: bullish on 2026-08-03, which was 10 bars ago.

Histogram

• – Histogram: 0.74
• – The histogram is positive, so momentum is still above the signal line.
• – The 4-bar change is -0.0882, so momentum is decelerating over that lookback.

Zero-line position

• – MACD is above zero.
• – Last zero-line cross: bullish on 2026-08-31, which was 6 bars ago.
• – This is separate from the signal-line crossover: the signal-line cross happened earlier, and the zero-line cross is the higher-horizon confirmation.

Divergence checks

• – Bearish divergence check: none. Nothing was found between 2026-06-15 close 103.89 / macd -1.6671 and 2026-08-24 close 108.1 / macd -0.045.
• – Bullish divergence check: none. Nothing was found between 2026-07-20 close 94.85 / macd -2.5412 and 2026-09-28 close 102.19 / macd 0.2908.

What would change this read

• – MACD falling to the signal line from 0.8626 toward 0.126 would weaken the bullish posture.
• – A move of MACD back to or below 0 would reverse the current above-zero condition.
• – The histogram turning from 0.7366 to a lower reading with a more negative 4-bar change than -0.0882 would show further momentum loss.

Current RSI and state

• – Current weekly RSI(14): 55.41.
• – State: neutral, because it is neither overbought nor oversold.

Direction over the last four weeks

• – RSI 4 bars ago: 49.02.
• – Direction: rising over the last four weeks.

Most recent 70/30 band event

• – Most recent band event: recovered above 30 on 2026-03-30.
• – That event occurred 28 bars ago.

Divergence checks

• – Bearish divergence check: nothing was found.
• – The last two price pivots were 2026-06-15 close 103.89 / rsi 49.54 and 2026-08-24 close 108.1 / rsi 57.35.
• – Bullish divergence check: nothing was found.
• – The last two price pivots were 2026-07-20 close 94.85 / rsi 39.97 and 2026-09-28 close 102.19 / rsi 48.28.

What would change this read

• – A move to RSI 70 or higher would change the state to overbought.
• – A move to RSI 30 or lower would change the state to oversold.
• – A reversal from the current rise, meaning RSI falling below 49.02, would change the short-term direction read.

The current weekly ATR(14) for DIS is 4.98. This value represents 4.69% of the latest weekly close of 106.15, indicating that the typical weekly price movement for DIS is $4.98.

Compared to eight weeks ago, when the ATR was 5.46, volatility for DIS is contracting. The current ATR of 4.98 is lower than the ATR 8 bars ago, confirming a trend of decreasing weekly price fluctuations.

The 1x ATR band from the latest weekly close of 106.15 ranges from 101.17 to 111.13. This suggests that a typical weekly movement for DIS would keep the price within this range. The 2x ATR band, representing a wider expected weekly range, extends from 96.2 to 116.1. These bands describe the expected weekly range of movement and should not be interpreted as price predictions.

What would change this read

• – A weekly ATR(14) value above 5.46 would indicate expanding volatility.
• – A weekly close outside the 2x ATR band (above 116.1 or below 96.2) would suggest an unusually volatile week.

• – 52-week range: the weekly high is 117.09, set on 2025-11-10, and the weekly low is 92.19, set on 2026-03-23.
• – Distance from each extreme: latest weekly close is 7.72% below the high and 17.20% above the low.
• – What the range position says: at 63.7% of the 52-week range, DIS is in the upper half of its longer weekly cycle, but not near the high end; the midpoint of the range is 104.64, and the latest close at 108.05 is above that midpoint.

What would change this read

• – A move to a weekly close at or above 117.09 would put price at the 52-week high.
• – A weekly close at or below 92.19 would put price at the 52-week low.
• – A loss of the current 63.7% position in the 52-week range, with price moving back below 104.64, would shift the stock back toward the lower half of the range.