CSCO technical analysis

• – Price vs EMA20: The latest weekly close is 112.20, which is above EMA20 at 109.44 by 2.52%.
• – Price vs EMA50: The latest weekly close is 112.20, which is above EMA50 at 97.90 by 14.61%.
• – Price vs EMA200: The latest weekly close is 112.20, which is above EMA200 at 72.03 by 55.77%.
• – EMA stack / trend: The stack is bullish because 20 > 50 > 200. This describes the weekly trend, not entry timing.
• – Cross signal: The last EMA50/EMA200 cross was a golden cross on 2024-10-28, 101 bars ago.

What would change this read:

• – A weekly close moving back below 109.44 would put price back under EMA20.
• – A weekly close moving back below 97.9 would put price back under EMA50.
• – If the EMA stack were no longer 20 > 50 > 200, the bullish trend read would be weakened; if there were a new death cross after the prior golden cross on 2024-10-28, that would be a major change.

• – MACD versus signal line: MACD is 4.05 and signal is 5.88, so MACD is below the signal line in a bearish posture. The last bearish signal-line crossover was on 2026-07-20, which was 11 bars ago.
• – Histogram: The histogram is -1.83, so momentum is negative. The 4-bar change is 0.319, which means the histogram is moving upward versus 4 bars ago, so bearish momentum is decelerating.
• – Zero line: MACD is above zero. The last bullish zero-line cross was on 2024-08-26, which was 110 bars ago. This is a separate signal from the signal-line crossover, with a much longer horizon.
• – Divergence checks:
• – Bearish divergence check: nothing was found. The check reported none between 2026-08-03 close 121.43/macd 9.752 and 2026-09-07 close 112.13/macd 5.9294.
• – Bullish divergence check: nothing was found. The check reported none between 2026-08-31 close 109.2/macd 6.3935 and 2026-09-21 close 106.7/macd 4.5031.

What would change this read:

• – A weekly move in MACD back above 5.8792 would put MACD back above the signal line.
• – A weekly MACD move below zero would reverse the current above-zero status.
• – A new divergence finding replacing the current none results in either the bearish or bullish divergence check would change the structure of the read.

Current RSI and regime: The current weekly RSI(14) is 56.38, which is neutral, not overbought and not oversold.

Direction over the last four weeks: RSI was 57.28 four bars ago and is now 56.38, so it has been falling over the last four weeks.

Most recent 70/30 band event: The most recent band event was a fall back below 70 on 2026-07-13, 12 bars ago.

Divergence checks

• – Bearish divergence: nothing was found. The last two price pivots were 2026-08-03 close 121.43 / rsi 68.78 and 2026-09-07 close 112.13 / rsi 57.28.
• – Bullish divergence: nothing was found. The last two price pivots were 2026-08-31 close 109.2 / rsi 54.51 and 2026-09-21 close 106.7 / rsi 50.86.

What would change this read

• – A weekly RSI move back above 70 would change the regime from neutral to overbought.
• – A weekly RSI move to 30 or below would change the regime from neutral to oversold.
• – A rise above 57.28 would reverse the current four-week falling direction.

• – ATR value and percentage of price: The weekly ATR(14) is 6.54, equal to 5.83% of price. That means the stock’s typical weekly movement is about 6.54 points around the close of 112.2.
• – Volatility versus eight weeks ago: Volatility is contracting because ATR has moved from 7.95 eight bars ago to 6.54 now.
• – 1x and 2x ATR bands:
• – The 1x ATR band from the close is 105.66 to 118.74. This describes a normal expected weekly range of about one ATR above or below the close, not a price prediction.
• – The 2x ATR band from the close is 99.12 to 125.28. This describes a wider expected weekly range of about two ATRs above or below the close, also as a range expectation rather than a forecast.

What would change this read:

• – If ATR(14) moved back up to 7.95, the contraction would no longer be in force versus the prior reading.
• – If the weekly close moved outside 105.66 to 118.74, it would be beyond the current 1x ATR expected weekly range.
• – If the weekly close moved outside 99.12 to 125.28, it would be beyond the current 2x ATR expected weekly range.

• – 52-week high: 130.37 set 2026-06-01.
• – 52-week low: 66.81 set 2025-10-13.

52-week range:

Distance from each extreme

• – Latest weekly close is 13.94% below the 52-week high.
• – Latest weekly close is 67.94% above the 52-week low.

What the range position says

• – The midpoint of the 52-week range is 98.59.
• – CSCO’s position in the 52-week range is 71.4%, which places it in the upper portion of the weekly range and above the midpoint, but not near the 52-week high.

What would change this read

• – A weekly close at or above 130.37 would put price at the 52-week high.
• – A weekly close at or near 66.81 would bring price back to the 52-week low.
• – A move back below the midpoint of 98.59 would shift the weekly range position back toward the lower half.