CAT technical analysis

Price vs each weekly EMA

• – Weekly close is 845.42, which is above EMA20 at 838.04 by 0.88%.
• – Weekly close is 845.42, which is above EMA50 at 757.67 by 11.58%.
• – Weekly close is 845.42, which is above EMA200 at 493.01 by 71.48%.

Stack

• – The EMA stack is bullish: 20 > 50 > 200.
• – That stack describes trend direction, not entry timing.

Golden/death cross

• – Last EMA50/EMA200 cross: none within the computable window.
• – Nothing was found for a dated golden or death cross in the available weekly history.

What would change this read

• – A weekly close back below EMA20 at 838.04 would weaken the current bullish short-term structure.
• – A weekly close below EMA50 at 757.67 would break the bullish 20 > 50 > 200 alignment.
• – A move that takes price below EMA200 at 493.01 would negate the current long-term bullish position relative to the 200-week EMA.

MACD versus signal line

• – MACD: 12.91
• – Signal: 26.38
• – Relationship: MACD is below the signal line, which is a bearish posture.
• – Last signal-line crossover: bearish on 2026-07-13, which was 12 weeks ago.

Histogram

• – Histogram: -13.4708, so it is negative.
• – Momentum state: still bearish, but the 4-bar change of 8.8007 shows the histogram has moved upward over the last 4 weeks, so downside momentum is decelerating.

Zero-line position

• – MACD is above zero.
• – Last zero-line cross: bullish on 2025-06-23, which was 67 weeks ago.
• – This is distinct from the signal-line crossover: the MACD can stay above zero even while remaining below the signal line.

Divergence checks

• – Bearish divergence check: none found. The last two price pivots were 2026-06-22 close 997.47 / macd 92.7753 and 2026-08-10 close 856.57 / macd 47.4529.
• – Bullish divergence check: none found. The last two price pivots were 2026-08-24 close 800.25 / macd 31.5838 and 2026-09-14 close 808.99 / macd 16.5733.

What would change this read

• – A move of MACD back above 26.3811 would remove the current bearish signal-line posture.
• – A histogram move from -13.4708 to positive would show the weekly momentum has turned back upward.
• – A move of MACD back below zero would negate the current above-zero condition.

Current RSI and state: The current weekly RSI(14) is 53.60, which is neutral, not overbought and not oversold.

Direction over the last four weeks: RSI 4 bars ago was 49.43, so the weekly RSI has been rising.

Most recent 70/30 band event: The most recent band event was falling back below 70 on 2026-07-13, 12 bars ago.

Divergence checks: Nothing was found on the bearish divergence check. Nothing was found on the bullish divergence check.

What would change this read

• – A move to "overbought >= 70" would change the state from neutral.
• – A move to "oversold <= 30" would change the state from neutral.
• – A new divergence result different from "none" on either the bearish divergence check or the bullish divergence check would change the divergence read.

• – ATR value and meaning: The weekly ATR(14) is 60.64, which is 7.17% of price. That means CAT’s typical weekly movement is about 60.64 points, relative to a latest weekly close of 845.42.
• – Expansion or contraction versus 8 weeks ago: Volatility is contracting. ATR(14) is now 60.64 versus 74.37 eight weeks ago, so the weekly range has narrowed.
• – 1x and 2x ATR bands: The 1x ATR band from the close is 784.78 to 906.06, which frames a normal expected weekly range around the latest close. The 2x ATR band is 724.13 to 966.71, which describes a wider expected weekly range; these are range reference levels, not price forecasts.

What would change this read

• – A move back above the prior ATR reading of 74.37 would weaken the contraction read.
• – A weekly range that pushes beyond 906.06 or below 784.78 would exceed the 1x ATR expected range.
• – A weekly range that pushes beyond 966.71 or below 724.13 would exceed the 2x ATR expected range.

• – 52-week high: 1073.46 set 2026-06-29.
• – 52-week low: 495.45 set 2025-10-13.
• – Latest weekly close is 21.24% below the 52-week high.
• – Latest weekly close is 70.64% above the 52-week low.
• – The midpoint of the 52-week range is 784.45, and the latest weekly close of 845.42 is above that midpoint.
• – Position in the 52-week range is 60.5% (0% = at the low, 100% = at the high).
• – That places CAT in the upper half of its weekly 52-week band, closer to the high than the low, but not near the top of the range.
• – A move to 1073.46 would place the stock at the 52-week high and shift the read closer to the top of the range.
• – A move to 495.45 would place the stock at the 52-week low and shift the read toward the bottom of the range.
• – A move back to 784.45 would put price at the midpoint of the 52-week range and reduce the current upper-half positioning.

52-week high and low

How far price sits from each

What the position within the range says

What would change this read