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APPLE INC

AAPL technical analysis

APPLE INC

Weekly trend, momentum and volatility for AAPL, computed from price data and explained in plain words. Updated September 25, 2026.

3 bullish, 1 bearish of 4 indicators

Mar 27, 2026 High $341.07, low $246.63
137 trading days Oct 12, 2026, close $340.97
Weekly close
$341.07
RSI (14, weekly)
66.8
EMA 50 (weekly)
$289.72
EMA 200 (weekly)
$229.43
ATR, % of price
4.81%
52-week high
$345.34
52-week low
$243.42
EMA 20 (weekly)
$315.08

Trend: EMA 20 / 50 / 200

Bullish, high confidence Week of September 25, 2026

BULLISH, price significantly above all key EMAs, high confidence.

AAPL's latest weekly close of 341.07 is trading above its weekly EMA20 of 315.08 by 8.25%. It is also above its weekly EMA50 of 289.72 by 17.72%, and significantly above its weekly EMA200 of 229.43 by 48.66%.

The weekly EMA stack is currently bullish, with the EMA20 (315.08) above the EMA50 (289.72), which is in turn above the EMA200 (229.43). This configuration indicates a strong uptrend. It is important to remember that the EMA stack describes the prevailing trend, not specific entry or exit timing.

No EMA50/EMA200 cross was found within the computable window.

What would change this read

A weekly close below the EMA20 at 315.08 would signal a potential weakening of short-term momentum. A weekly close below the EMA50 at 289.72 would suggest a more significant shift in the intermediate-term trend. A cross of the EMA20 below the EMA50 would break the current bullish stack, indicating a potential reversal of the established uptrend.

Momentum: MACD (12, 26, 9)

Bullish, high confidence Week of September 25, 2026

BULLISH / MACD above signal with accelerating momentum / High confidence

The weekly MACD for AAPL is currently at 15.40, positioned above its signal line of 14.02, indicating a bullish posture. This bullish crossover occurred on 2026-09-07, three weeks ago.

The histogram is positive at 1.37, and its 4-bar change is positive at 1.19, suggesting an acceleration of positive momentum.

The MACD is above the zero line, which is a long-term bullish indicator. The last bullish zero-line cross occurred on 2025-08-11, 59 weeks ago. This is distinct from the more recent signal-line crossover, which provides a shorter-term momentum signal.

No bearish divergence was identified between the last two price pivots (2026-05-25 close 312.06/macd 12.4493 -> 2026-07-13 close 333.74/macd 14.9797). Similarly, no bullish divergence was identified (2026-06-22 close 283.78/macd 11.1238 -> 2026-08-10 close 305.93/macd 13.5601).

What would change this read

  • – A weekly MACD close below its signal line, currently at 14.0235.
  • – A weekly MACD close below the zero line.
  • – The identification of a bearish divergence.

Strength: RSI (14)

Bearish, medium confidence Week of September 25, 2026

BEARISH, due to a confirmed bearish divergence, medium confidence.

The current weekly RSI(14) for AAPL is 66.78, which is in a neutral state, as the overbought threshold is 70 and the oversold threshold is 30.

Over the last four weeks, the weekly RSI has been rising, moving from 60.1 to its current level of 66.78.

The most recent band event occurred 17 weeks ago on 2026-06-01, when the weekly RSI fell back below the 70 overbought threshold.

A bearish divergence has been identified. This occurred between the weekly close of 312.06 on 2026-05-25 with an RSI of 73.11, and the weekly close of 333.74 on 2026-07-13 with an RSI of 69.4. This indicates that while the price made a higher high, the RSI made a lower high. No bullish divergence was found.

What would change this read

A shift to a bullish outlook would require the weekly RSI to rise above the 70 overbought threshold. Conversely, a stronger bearish signal would emerge if the weekly RSI were to fall below the 30 oversold threshold, or if it were to decline below the 60.1 level observed four weeks ago.

Volatility: ATR (14)

Volatility contracting, high confidence Week of September 25, 2026

CONTRACTING - volatility is contracting - high confidence

AAPL's weekly Average True Range (ATR(14)) is 16.41, which represents 4.81% of its latest weekly close price of 341.07. This value indicates the average weekly price range (high minus low) over the past 14 weeks.

Compared to eight weeks ago, when the ATR was 18.02, current volatility is contracting. This suggests that the average weekly price movement for AAPL has decreased over this period.

The 1x ATR band from the latest close suggests that a normal weekly range for AAPL would be between 324.66 and 357.48. For a more extended weekly movement, the 2x ATR band indicates an expected range from 308.26 to 373.88. These bands describe the expected weekly range based on historical volatility, not price predictions.

What would change this read

  • – A significant increase in volatility, such as the weekly ATR(14) rising above 18.02.
  • – A weekly close price moving outside the 1x ATR band, for example, closing below 324.66 or above 357.48.

52-week range

Bullish, high confidence Week of September 25, 2026

BULLISH, trading at 95.8% of its 52-week range, high confidence.

The 52-week high for AAPL is 345.34, set on 2026-09-21. The 52-week low is 243.42, set on 2026-01-19.

AAPL's latest weekly close of 341.07 is -1.24% from its 52-week high. The price is 40.12% above its 52-week low.

AAPL is currently positioned at 95.8% within its 52-week range. This indicates that the stock is trading very near the top of its annual price cycle, suggesting strong upward momentum and a mature phase of its current trend.

What would change this read

A move above the 52-week high of 345.34 would signal a new upward trend. A drop below the midpoint of the 52-week range at 294.38 would indicate a significant shift in sentiment. A fall to the 52-week low of 243.42 would signal a strong bearish reversal.

Educational content, not investment advice. Every figure above is computed from weekly price bars; the text only explains them. Past behaviour of an indicator says nothing certain about the future.